https://gafferlab.cc/lab-notes/ Short data essays on Fantasy Premier League, each with its own falsifier. en Sun, 27 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://gafferlab.cc/lab-notes/2025-26/form-is-a-liar/ gafferlab-lab-note-2025-26-form-is-a-liar Sun, 27 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT How long until form tells the truth? In 2025-26, a six-week run of points typically told us about 22% of what came next, whenever in the season we measured it. The whole season so far did better, slowly. For attackers, xGI was a far steadier witness.